Here’s a detailed look at match facts and stats for the rivalry between Félix Auger-Aliassime and Alex De Minaur , highlighting their head-to-head history, surface performance etc.

TODAY'S PREDICTIONS

• Both Players to win a set - NO

• Total Sets - Over 3.5

• Total Games - Over 33.5

• Felix Auger-Aliassime Win

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Head-to-Head Overview

• Total matches: 5

• Career head-to-head record: Auger-Aliassime leads 3–2

• Sets won (total in rivalry): Auger-Aliassime 8, De Minaur 4

Surface Breakdown:

• Hard courts: Auger-Aliassime has won both encounters (2–0 in matches; 4–0 in sets)

• Clay courts: De Minaur holds a 2–0 advantage (in matches) with 4–2 in sets

• Grass/Challenger/junior matches are included in overall H2H but less defining for current ATP performance

Key Insight: Auger-Aliassime leads the rivalry 3–2 and holds a distinct edge on hard courts, while De Minaur’s sole victory came on clay in Rome 2024.

Match-Level Statistical Highlights

From the image provided (source: MatchStat), here are the comparative serving and returning metrics:

• 1st Serve Percentage:

  • Auger-Aliassime: 63%

  • De Minaur: 58%

• 1st Serve Win Rate:

  • Auger-Aliassime: 75%

  • De Minaur: 71%

• 2nd Serve Win Rate:

  • Auger-Aliassime: 50%

  • De Minaur: 54%

• Break Points Won:

  • Auger-Aliassime: 37%

  • De Minaur: 44%

• Return Points Won:

  • Auger-Aliassime: 37%

  • De Minaur: 40%

Interpretation:

• Auger-Aliassime is stronger on first serves, securing more and winning a higher percentage—but De Minaur gains more on second serves and converts break chances more effectively.

• De Minaur also outperforms slightly in return games, reflecting his counterpunching style.

Context From Their US Open 2025 Quarterfinals Build-Up

Additional match build-up stats from their recent Major runs:

• De Minaur breezed into the US Open quarter-finals with an emphatic 6-3, 6-2, 6-1 win over Leandro Riedi, capitalizing on 39 unforced errors and breaking serve eight times. He has yet to face a top-50 opponent this week.

• Auger-Aliassime defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5, 6-3, 6-4, powering out 42 winners to Rublev’s 22, marking assertive offensive dominance.

Summary: What These Stats Tell Us

• Aggressive Play vs. Consistency: Auger-Aliassime clearly dominates with powerful serving and shot-making, while De Minaur relies on steadiness, return ability, and converting break opportunities.

• Surface Switch Impact: Hard courts favor Auger-Aliassime’s strengths; De Minaur’s clay win shows adaptability but suggests he needs more defensive play on faster surfaces.

• Match Momentum: In their head-to-head, Auger-Aliassime's firepower provided early control; De Minaur’s ability to extend points and convert crucial moments showcases resilience.

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