Atalanta vs AC Milan: Serie A Showdown at New Balance Arena! 🏟️

Gear up for a thrilling Serie A Matchday 9 clash! 🔥 Atalanta face AC Milan at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo on Tuesday, October 28, 2025, at 22:45 PM EAT (3:45 PM ET). Ivan Jurić’s unbeaten La Dea take on Massimiliano Allegri’s high-flying Rossoneri in a battle for top-table supremacy. With both teams coming off draws, this promises to be a tight, high-energy affair. The sports card above details Atalanta’s 8.8% conversion rate vs Milan all-time—let’s break down the form, tactics, and bold predictions! ⚽

TODAY'S PREDICTION

Total goals - over 0.5

AC Milan Win or Draw

Both teams to score - YES

2nd half goals - over 0.5

You can place your bets today through various betting sites such as: Betpawa, Sokabet , Sportybet, BetWinner etc.

Current Form and Context

Atalanta, 7th with 12 points (2-6-0), are the only unbeaten team in Serie A but are frustrated by draws, with four consecutive stalemates, including a 1-1 at Cremonese (66% possession, 6 shots on target). Their sole league wins came against Lecce and Torino, scoring 6 goals and conceding 3 (0.75 goals per game). In the Champions League, they drew 0-0 with Slavia Praha, showing defensive solidity but lacking finishing (xG 1.2). At home, they’re tough, with 2 wins and 2 draws in 4 league games, but their draw-heavy streak (5/7 across all competitions) demands a spark.

AC Milan, 3rd with 17 points (5-2-1), are in fine form, unbeaten in their last eight across all competitions (W6, D2), though a 2-2 draw vs Pisa (needing a 90+4’ equalizer from Athekame) exposed vulnerabilities. They’ve scored 13 goals and conceded 6, with Rafael Leão (3 goals in 2 games) on fire. Their away form is stellar—no goals conceded on the road in Serie A (W2, D2)—and a 2-1 win over Fiorentina highlights their edge. However, injuries and a lack of squad depth (only 5 subs in last 2 games) could test them.

Historical Head-to-Head

The sports card above notes Atalanta’s 8.8% conversion rate vs Milan all-time (27 non-penalty goals from 308 shots in 22 games). Atalanta have won 4 of the last 5 meetings (D1), including a 2-1 home win and a 1-0 away victory in 2024/25, giving them a slight edge. Milan lead historically (18 wins to Atalanta’s 15 in 47 Serie A matches), but haven’t won at Bergamo since October 2021 (3-2). Games average 2.4 goals, with first-half draws in the last 5 H2Hs and under 2.5 goals in Atalanta’s last 4 league games.

Team News and Tactical Insights

Atalanta: Sead Kolašinac, Giorgio Scalvini, and Mitchel Bakker are out injured, but Ademola Lookman (2 goals) and Nikola Krstović are fit. Jurić’s 3-4-3 emphasizes defensive structure (3 goals conceded) and wing play, with Raoul Bellanova and Nicola Zalewski stretching the pitch. Éderson (1 goal) and Marco Brescianini (1 goal vs Cremonese) control midfield, while Charles De Ketelaere (2 goals, 8 assists in 2024) is a creative hub. Their 49.2% possession and 4.3 corners per game suit home dominance. Predicted XI: Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Hien, De Roon; Bellanova, Éderson, Pašalić, Zalewski; De Ketelaere, Krstović, Lookman. 🔵⚫

AC Milan: Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic, Pervis Estupiñan, Ardon Jashari, and Ruben Loftus-Cheek are out, but Fikayo Tomori returns. Allegri’s 3-5-2 leverages defensive solidity (0 goals conceded away) and Leão’s pace (3 goals, 2 assists vs Atalanta since 2020). Luka Modrić (92% passing) and Youssouf Fofana anchor midfield, while Santiago Giménez (0 Serie A goals) seeks a breakthrough. Milan’s 2.4 corners per game suggest set-piece caution. Predicted XI: Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlović; Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modrić, Ricci, Bartesaghi; Giménez, Leão. ❤️🖤

Match Details

• Date and Time: October 28, 2025, 8:45 PM CET (3:45 PM ET, 11:45 PM EAT)

• Venue: New Balance Arena, Bergamo (Capacity: 21,300)

• Referee: Daniele Doveri (VAR: Chiffi)

• Weather: 14°C, partly cloudy—fast pitch expected

💰 Betting View

• Bet Match Winner: Draw ✅ (+230 odds, 29.4% chance, 5/7 Atalanta games drawn, Milan’s away draws)

• Both Teams to Score Bet (BTTS): ❌ NO (1.85 odds, Milan’s 0 away goals conceded, Atalanta’s low scoring)

• Under 2.5 Bet on Goals: 🔥 STRONG (1.65 odds, 4/4 Atalanta games, 5/5 H2H first-half draws)

• Bet on Anytime Scorer: Rafael Leão ⚡ (+195 odds, 3 goals in 2 games, 5 goal involvements vs Atalanta)

• Correct Score Bet : 1-1

Prediction and Key Factors

Atalanta’s unbeaten run (7 games, W2, D5) and home strength (2-2-0) meet Milan’s superior form (8 unbeaten, W6, D2) and away defensive record (0 goals conceded). Atalanta’s 4 straight draws and low goal output (6 in 8) clash with Milan’s firepower (Leão’s 3 goals in 2), but injuries limit both sides’ depth. The midfield battle—Éderson vs Modrić—and wing duels (Bellanova vs Leão) will decide the flow. H2H trends (4/5 Atalanta wins, 5/5 first-half draws) and Milan’s +0.25 Asian Handicap success (7/7 games) point to a stalemate.

Prediction: Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan. Lookman opens for La Dea, Leão equalizes late in a tense draw. Milan stay 3rd, Atalanta inch closer to the top four. 🌟

Why This Match Matters

With Milan (17 points) chasing Napoli (18) and Atalanta (12) eyeing a top-four spot, a win could shift the Scudetto race. Atalanta’s home edge and recent H2H dominance (4/5 wins) test Milan’s title credentials, while Allegri’s injury-hit squad faces Jurić’s resilient side. A draw keeps both in contention but delays a decisive blow.

Your call, La Dea or Rossoneri? Drop your score predictions below and join the post-match chaos! 🗣️ Stay locked for more Serie A heat and live reactions.

You can place your bets today through various betting sites such as: Betpawa, Sokabet , Sportybet, BetWinner etc.