Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid | King Abdullah Sports City | Supercopa de España 2026 Semi-Final

The iconic Madrid Derby ignites the Spanish Super Cup in a high-stakes semi-final. Diego Simeone's Atlético seek revenge and silverware against Xabi Alonso's Real Madrid, who are under pressure after a trophyless 2025. This neutral-venue clash in Saudi Arabia promises intensity, with the winner advancing to face Barcelona or Athletic Club in the final.

Current Form

Atlético Madrid are unbeaten in their last five across all competitions, including a 1-1 draw at Real Sociedad. They sit 4th in La Liga and carry momentum, boosted by their 5-2 thrashing of Real Madrid earlier this season.

Real Madrid have won their last four matches but face scrutiny on Xabi Alonso. A recent win over Real Betis showed resilience, yet the September derby humiliation lingers.
(Mkeka wa leo focus on Goals mostly and Bookings)

Recent Form (all comps):

• Atlético: D-W-W-D-W

• Real Madrid: W-W-W-W-L (lost 5-2 to Atlético in Sept)

You can place your bets today through various betting sites such as: Wasafibet, Betpawa, Sokabet , Sportybet, BetWinner etc.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Atlético Madrid: Clément Lenglet and Nicolás González remain out injured. Pablo Barrios is a doubt (calf). Alexander Sørloth leads the line after recent goals, with Julián Álvarez and Antoine Griezmann key threats.

Predicted Atlético XI (3-5-2): Oblak; Llorente, Pubill, Hancko, Ruggeri/Galán; Barrios/Gallagher, Koke, Baena; Simeone, Álvarez, Sørloth.

Real Madrid: Major blow – Kylian Mbappé out (knee injury). Éder Militão long-term absent. Dean Huijsen and Dani Carvajal recently returned; Jude Bellingham, Vinícius Jr., and Rodrygo drive the attack.

Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-3-3): Courtois; Carvajal/Valverde, Rüdiger, Huijsen, Carreras/Mendy; Tchouaméni, Camavinga, Bellingham; Rodrygo, García/Endrick, Vinícius.

Head-to-Head Record

Real Madrid dominate historically with 117 wins to Atlético's 61 (and draws) in 241 meetings. In recent derbies, Atlético have been competitive: unbeaten in six La Liga games vs Real (4 draws, 2 wins), including the 5-2 in September 2025.

Last meeting: Atlético Madrid 5-2 Real Madrid (La Liga, Sept 2025) – Álvarez brace, Griezmann goal.

Key Stats:

• Atlético seeking back-to-back wins over Real for first time since 2015.

• Often high-scoring in cup formats; BTTS common.

Match Prediction and Betting Tips

Atlético enter as slight favorites due to form and Real's absences. Models give ~35% Atlético win, ~35% Real, ~30% draw/extra time.

Our Prediction: Atlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid (or extra time) Simeone's tactical edge and home-like intensity could see Atlético advance, seeking redemption for Real.

MKEKA WA LEO

• Main Bet: Total goals - over 0.5

• Trendy Bet: Both teams to score - YES

• Safe Bet: Atletico Madrid or Real Madrid

• Bet on Total corners - over 7.5

This Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Supercopa de España 2026 semi-final could define both clubs' seasons early. Drop your score prediction on "Post your Tips" section ✍️

You can place your bets today through various betting sites such as: Wasafibet, Betpawa, Sokabet , Sportybet, BetWinner etc.

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