Tuesday, December 16, 2025 | Estadio Pedro Escartín | 21:00 CET David vs Goliath in Castilla-La Mancha: Can Third-Tier Guadalajara Shock the Copa Holders? ⚔️ The tiny Estadio Pedro Escartín (capacity ~8,000) braces for its biggest night ever as third-division CD Guadalajara host reigning Copa del Rey champions FC Barcelona in this single-leg Round of 32 tie. The hosts, battling relegation in Primera Federación Group 1, dream of a historic giant-killing against Hansi Flick's La Liga leaders. Barça, rotating heavily but still stacked with talent, aim for a professional job to defend their title. Classic cup magic potential – but quality should shine through.

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Current Form – Holders Flying, Hosts Fighting Relegation

CD Guadalajara (17th in Primera Federación Group 1)

• Struggling: Just 1 win in last 12 league games, fresh off a 3-1 loss to Real Madrid Castilla

• Cup run: Beat Cacereño and Ceuta to reach this stage – their reward? The biggest tie in club history

• Home hope: Scored in most recent homes, but leaky (37 conceded in season)

• Squad: Salifo Caropitche top scorer (3 goals); no major injuries, full motivation

FC Barcelona (1st in La Liga – 4 points clear)

• Unstoppable: 7 wins in last 8 across comps, including 2-0 over Osasuna last weekend

• Cup defense starts: Heavy rotation expected (youth + reserves like Fermín, Roony, Jofre)

• Attack ruthless: Averaging 2.8 goals/game; Ferran Torres in form (hat-trick recent)

• Absences: Several rested (Lewandowski, Yamal likely benched); but depth insane

Head-to-Head: First-Ever Meeting

No previous encounters – but Barça have won 16/20 home/away vs lower-tier sides in Copa early rounds, often by 3+ margins.

Tactical Breakdown: Motivation vs Class

Guadalajara will pack the bus in 4-2-3-1, hoping for set-piece magic or counters – but their third-tier pace struggles vs Barça's press. Flick's rotated 4-2-3-1 (Szczesny; Eric/Cubarsí backline, De Jong/Casadó midfield, Ferran up top) controls possession (60%+ expected), exploiting spaces with quick transitions. Expect youth energy + clinical finishing – over goals if hosts chase.

The Killer Stat for Barcelona -2.5

Barça in Copa vs lower-division sides last 5 years: Average 4.2 goals scored, covered -2.5 in 80%; Guadalajara concede 1.7/game this season.

Final Prediction

CD Guadalajara 0–4 FC Barcelona

Ferran brace, youth stars (Fermín/Roony) add gloss – professional rout, holders cruise to Round of 16. Guadalajara fight valiantly, but class tells.

Bookies price the upset dream – this handicap/over is massive value. Load on Sokabet.co.tz; cup nights deliver!

Stake smart, enjoy the magic (or mismatch), and let's green up. 💰

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