
Tips
April 24, 2025
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the Inter Milan vs AC Milan derby (Derby della Madonnina), including head-to-head stats, form, key players, and predictions:
TODAY'S PREDICTIONS
Total goals - over 1.5
Inter win or draw
Both teams to score - YES
2nd half goals - over 0.5
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Head-to-Head Record (Last 10 Meetings)
Inter Milan Wins: 5
AC Milan Wins: 3
Draws: 2
Recent Form (Last 5 Matches – All Competitions)
TeamForm (Recent First)Inter Milan✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅(5 straight wins, dominant form)AC Milan✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌(3 wins in 5, inconsistent)
Key Match Statistics
StatInter Milan (Avg)AC Milan (Avg)Goals Scored2.3/game1.8/gameGoals Conceded0.6/game1.1/gamePossession54%58%Shots on Target5.5/game4.9/gameClean Sheets50%30%
Recent Meetings
Inter 1-0 AC Milan (Feb 2024 – Serie A)
Inter 5-1 AC Milan (Sep 2023 – Serie A) (Derby humiliation)
AC Milan 0-2 Inter (May 2023 – UCL Semifinal)
Trend: Inter have won 4 of the last 5 derbies, including a 5-1 thrashing earlier this season.
Top Scorers (2023/24 Season)
Player (Team)GoalsLautaro Martínez (Inter)24Olivier Giroud (AC Milan)14Marcus Thuram (Inter)11
Key Trends
⚫ Inter’s Strengths:
Best defense in Serie A (conceded only 0.6 goals/game).
Unbeaten in last 10 home games (9 wins, 1 draw).
Dominant in derbies (scored 3+ goals in 3 of last 5 vs Milan).
🔴 AC Milan’s Weaknesses:
Struggle vs top teams (lost to Inter, Juve, Napoli this season).
Defensive fragility (conceded 8 goals in last 3 derbies).
Over-reliance on Leão/Giroud for goals.
Tactical Preview
Inter’s Approach: High press, lethal counters (Martínez + Thuram).
Milan’s Approach: Wide play (Leão vs Dumfries key battle).
Set-Piece Alert: Inter have scored 10+ headers this season.
Injury/Suspension Watch
TeamPlayerStatusInterHakan ÇalhanoğluDoubtful (muscle)InterJuan CuadradoOut (long-term)AC MilanTommaso PobegaOut (thigh)AC MilanFikayo TomoriSuspended
Prediction & Betting Tips
Likely Outcome: Inter Milan Win (Superior form & derby dominance).
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)? Yes (Milan can score but likely lose).
Correct Score: 2-1 or 3-1 Inter (Martínez to score).
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