Here’s a detailed breakdown of the Inter Milan vs AC Milan derby (Derby della Madonnina), including head-to-head stats, form, key players, and predictions:

TODAY'S PREDICTIONS

• Total goals - over 1.5

• Inter win or draw

• Both teams to score - YES

• 2nd half goals - over 0.5

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Head-to-Head Record (Last 10 Meetings)

• Inter Milan Wins: 5

• AC Milan Wins: 3

• Draws: 2

Recent Form (Last 5 Matches – All Competitions)

TeamForm (Recent First)Inter Milan✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅(5 straight wins, dominant form)AC Milan✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌(3 wins in 5, inconsistent)

Key Match Statistics

StatInter Milan (Avg)AC Milan (Avg)Goals Scored2.3/game1.8/gameGoals Conceded0.6/game1.1/gamePossession54%58%Shots on Target5.5/game4.9/gameClean Sheets50%30%

Recent Meetings

• Inter 1-0 AC Milan (Feb 2024 – Serie A)

• Inter 5-1 AC Milan (Sep 2023 – Serie A) (Derby humiliation)

• AC Milan 0-2 Inter (May 2023 – UCL Semifinal)

Trend: Inter have won 4 of the last 5 derbies, including a 5-1 thrashing earlier this season.

Top Scorers (2023/24 Season)

Player (Team)GoalsLautaro Martínez (Inter)24Olivier Giroud (AC Milan)14Marcus Thuram (Inter)11

Key Trends

⚫ Inter’s Strengths:

• Best defense in Serie A (conceded only 0.6 goals/game).

• Unbeaten in last 10 home games (9 wins, 1 draw).

• Dominant in derbies (scored 3+ goals in 3 of last 5 vs Milan).

🔴 AC Milan’s Weaknesses:

• Struggle vs top teams (lost to Inter, Juve, Napoli this season).

• Defensive fragility (conceded 8 goals in last 3 derbies).

• Over-reliance on Leão/Giroud for goals.

Tactical Preview

• Inter’s Approach: High press, lethal counters (Martínez + Thuram).

• Milan’s Approach: Wide play (Leão vs Dumfries key battle).

• Set-Piece Alert: Inter have scored 10+ headers this season.

Injury/Suspension Watch

TeamPlayerStatusInterHakan ÇalhanoğluDoubtful (muscle)InterJuan CuadradoOut (long-term)AC MilanTommaso PobegaOut (thigh)AC MilanFikayo TomoriSuspended

Prediction & Betting Tips

• Likely Outcome: Inter Milan Win (Superior form & derby dominance).

• Both Teams to Score (BTTS)? Yes (Milan can score but likely lose).

• Correct Score: 2-1 or 3-1 Inter (Martínez to score).

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