Here’s a concise analysis and prediction for USM Alger vs ES Sétif in the Algerian Ligue 1 on June 16, 2025:

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• Head-to-Head & Form

• Balanced rivalry: In the last 26–32 meetings, both teams have around 9–11 wins and 8 draws; goals are evenly split.

• Recent encounters: Last meeting (Dec 21, 2024) ended in a 1–1 draw. Matches often see both teams find the net (~75–77% BTTS in H2H) with average goals around 2.7–2.8 .

• Team Analysis

USM Alger (Home advantage)

• Home PPG ~1.93 vs overall ~1.32; stronger at Stade Omar Hamadi.

• Scoring in ~79% of home games; conceding ~0.71 goals per game .

• Last 5 games: 4 with both teams scoring; tends to concede in its last nine matches.

ES Sétif (Away struggles)

• Away PPG ~0.93; scoring just ~0.64 goals per match and conceding ~1.14 per game away.

• Failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches; only 1 of last 5 had both teams scoring.

• Prediction & Key Bets

Top Insights:

• USM Alger is favored at home—most models predict a 1–0 or 2–0 home win.

• Under 2.5 goals is likely (≈70% historical rate).

• BTTS is possible but less certain; anticipate a tight, low-scoring encounter.

Probable Scorelines:

• 1–0 USM Alger (common estimate) .

• Occasional 1–1 (due to head-to-head draws).

• Summary Table

OutcomeLikelihood & OddsUSM Alger winHigh (~51–60%) Under 2.5 goalsStrong (~70%) Both teams to scoreModerate (~36%)

• Final Prediction:

USM Alger 1–0 ES Sétif

• Home win favored

• Under 2.5 goals expected

• BTTS – No is safest bet